My election prediction

My election prediction

This election has truly bugged me. My political leanings have shifted all over the map in my life. Like many others I hoped that Paul Martin would be a good PM. I have a deep appreciation for what he did in the 90’s. It hasn’t turned out well. Paul Martin has a lot of ideas but follows through on so little. He claims to hold to the centre of Canadian values but he demonizes a good 1/3rd of the population that don’t agree with him. It seems as if he put the same effort in to governing as he did to staying in power he might even be a good PM. My affinity for Paul Martin’s record as finance minister may have blinded me to the truth about his capabilities. Part of me still wants to believe his main failing is his advisors. The knee cap busting, vindictive “Martinites” who showed so little mercy to Chretien’s cronies. The truth is a good leader will pick the best advisors, not just loyalists waiting for payback of services rendered.

I believe the Conservatives will win this election and I believe that is what Canada wants. We do want change. The people that saved our country from economic despair aren’t necessarily the best folks to lead afterwards. If my read is correct Canadians will elect another minority government because we still aren’t completely sure about Harper. We will be more than happy with a strong conservative minority and we can trust that Jack Layton will keep things from going too crazy. I’d be happy with that. I’m really glad that the NDP won’t back down on Kyoto. Send the Libs back to the garage for a tune up.

Because the Libs will lose that frees me up to vote my conscience with the local candidates. The current incumbent MP Maurice Vellacott has pushed the limits of ethical behaviour on more than one occasion. He used tax payers money to support Stockwell Day’s leadership campaign for the Canadian Alliance. He has tried to intimidate and guilt other candidates in to withdrawing in this election. If I want to clean up Ottawa how does it help to send someone there who shows a willingness to push the limits of acceptable behavior? Isn’t this what we need a change from?

Feel free to leave your prediction in the comments. 🙂

  1. #1 by Bene Diction on January 19, 2006 - 1:43 pm

    Predicting the outcome of an election with disgrundled voters in winter is a fools errand.:^)

    At best it’s guesstamates.

  2. #2 by Paul Johnston on January 19, 2006 - 3:44 pm

    Thanks for the work and the props, Bene.

    Conservative majority.

  3. #3 by Keith on January 19, 2006 - 6:27 pm

    Thanks for answering my questions LT. I totally agree with your conscience regardning Vellacott. He’s a bad man! I always thought Martin would have been awsome as PM, actually I think we talked about that back in the day. I even voted Liberal for Federal and Provincial (up until the last provincial Election I leaned more on the Liberal side of politics). This time I just felt that things had gotten out of hand and we need a temporary shift of power to straigten things up agian. How long I don’t know but it’s good for the Liberals to loose this one…like you wrote “back to the garage for a tune up.” Then back on the Race track to win the Indianapolis… Fortunatly for us all the Marujauna Party will never become a significant force in polotics

  4. #4 by Michele Rowe on January 20, 2006 - 8:07 am

    I am fascinated by the site and found you through vote out vellacott. I am pleased to see a group of Christians refrain from the usual narrow-minded rhetoric and actually think for themselves. Perhaps this is the type of faith that might actually attract people!

  5. #5 by Leighton Tebay on January 20, 2006 - 11:04 am

    Thanks Michele.

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